Barack Obama did not need white coal miners’ votes to win in 2012.
Paul Waldman argues that democrats can win presidential elections via the gentry/welfare minorities/hipsters alliance. They may not get most white working class votes, but they only need to pick up a small percentage of those and they win.
Few questions in American political debate recur with the regularity of this one: Can Democrats win the white working class?
As soon as itâ€™s time to start contemplating the next election, commentators begin to ask this question, demanding of Democrats that they explain why this time will be different and theyâ€™ll be able to win over those white voters. Iâ€™m going to argue that Democrats donâ€™t have to win the white working class, so they shouldnâ€™t worry themselves too much about it. …
hereâ€™s the good news for Clinton: It doesnâ€™t matter. She doesnâ€™t need to win the white vote, working-class or otherwise, in order to become president. The last time a Democratic presidential candidate won a majority of the white vote was 1964. Yet theyâ€™ve managed to win five elections since then.
We spend so much time contemplating what different demographic groups find appealing and repellent that itâ€™s almost as though we forget that a vote is a vote. For instance, Democrats are often scolded for their unpopularity among voters in rural areas and small towns, because of a mythos that says those are the most virtuous and true Americans and therefore their votes are somehow more desirable than those of people who live in suburbs and cities. But they arenâ€™t. The vote of a tattooed 20-something hipster in Des Moines is no less helpful than that of the 60-something farmer who lives a hundred miles north.
Demographics, of course, are obviously important. For instance, Republicansâ€™ struggles with Hispanic voters are meaningful because theyâ€™ve managed to alienate all of those voters at once, and that has ended up costing them millions of votes. But is there something Hillary Clinton (or some other Democrat) could do that would cause huge numbers of working-class white voters to vote differently than they had before? Probably not. The plain truth is that sheâ€™s likely to get more of their votes than Barack Obama did just because sheâ€™s white (though not so many more that it will make her unbeatable). But there isnâ€™t some magical key to unlocking the votes of that entire demographic category that can be found and deployed.
What Democrats need to do is offer an agenda, particularly on the economy, that appeals to a broad spectrum of Americans. Thatâ€™s both simple and complicated. But if and when they put that agenda together, lots of white working class voters still wonâ€™t respond, because theyâ€™re Republicans. And thatâ€™s okay. Democrats donâ€™t need them all. What they need is about the same proportion of those votes that they got in the last couple of presidential elections. More would be nice, but the same amount would work fine. Because you may remember who won those elections.
Read the whole thing.
I believe the premise is true and I believe that amnesty and open borders will insure a permanent Democrat government in the future. The question that the Democrats need to ask themselves is can the U.S. survive without the white working class. If everyone is reduced to minimum wage jobs and/or welfare who will pay the bills/taxes? The rich will be forced to move offshore to stay rich and the welfare that the welfare class has been promised and depend on will shrink and perhaps even disappear. What then, if we make it that far. It seems far more likely that this will all blow up in the face of the Democrats. As soon as every hard working white class American understand that they must lose everything and their children cannot have decent jobs just so that welfare can expand and immigrants can be give enough free stuff to keep them voting Democrat I think the middle class will rise up and it won’t be pretty. I admit, I could be wrong. The middle class might simple let itself be taxed and bullyed into oblivion. After all without some kind of charismatic leader maybe no one will dare stand up against it. And lord knows we don’t have any charismatic leaders standing up on the right.
For the Democrat strategist and his cohort to prosper the United States need not survive, only the Democrat party. They are the latest version of apres moi, le deluge.
Imagine what FDR would have to say about this.
Why would you assume that a white candidate would get more white votes than Obama? Obama got more white votes than John Kerry did.
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