And there’s no penalty for being wrong. You still get to keep the prizes and awards and your faculty position at some elite university.
Paul Erlich, in 1968, famously warned:
“The battle to feed all of humanity is over. In the 1970s hundreds of millions of people will starve to death in spite of any crash programs embarked upon now. At this late date nothing can prevent a substantial increase in the world death rate.”
Erlich is Bing Professor of Population Studies Emeritus at Stanford University, president of the Center for Conservation Biology at Stanford, and a fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, the United States National Academy of Sciences, the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, and the American Philosophical Society.
You can spout utter and complete horsecrap, but still wind up successful and covered with honors as long as it’s fashionable horsecrap.