18 Dec 2007

Climate Predictions: 85+% Certainty = 100% Wrong

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Townhall.com:

With the official hurricane season now over, we now have a better idea of what 85%+ forecast certainty meant: Wrong 100% of the time.

In August, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecast a 85% probability there would be an “above normal” hurricane season.

This is the second year running the government hurricane forecast was wrong. This 0-2 record may tell us something about other similarly “certain” forecasts, such as those issued by the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

If forecasters can’t get hurricane projections right during hurricane season, why should we trust their forecasts for a hundred years from now?

NOAA had predicted 7-9 hurricanes and 3-5 major hurricanes, but there were just six hurricanes, only two of which were “major.” There are “normally” six hurricanes, two major, and 11 named storms.

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One Feedback on "Climate Predictions: 85+% Certainty = 100% Wrong"

Klaatu

Some one out ther is concerned about your planet, and the changes taking place. The day the earth stood still is a good example of what I mean.

Fiction? Is it?

Thre are going to be many changes taking place in the next few years.

Not only with the planet, but you humans as well. Look around you… Not just on the news.. many of you can no longer compensate for the current struggle you are facing. This struggle will elevate as time goes by. History will repeat itself as it has over, and over again.

WHY?

Because of your ego, forgiveness, and change are not part of your long range concepts. Most of you think only of yourselves, and will eventually suffer the consequences for your actions, or your non actions. For every action there is an equal or opposite reaction. In the case of human spiritual development, you remain stagnent.

How far will you let this go?

If you truly seek a solution to your individual development, I have a manuscript on the world wide web called:

“THE NILE of DENIAL by Klaatu.

You must let go of your ego, become open minded, and have a fairly high I.Q. in order to see the blueprint that lies within. Godspeed to all of you.. I have come to help you. Most of you are going to need it….. KLAATU



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