Nate Silver, the New York Times statistics whiz and FiveThirtyEight founder and chief editor who accurately predicted every stateâ€™s election results in the 2012 election, has some good news for the Grand Old Party: The 2014 midterm Senate election he deemed a toss-up last July now projects a slight edge for the Republicans. Why the switch? He explains that Obamaâ€™s shrinking approval ratings and the fact that Republicans have recruited quality candidates have given the party the edge they now enjoy.
Hot Air reports that Silver predicts a has a 60% chance for the GOP to take control of the upper chamber, and a 30% chance of winning it big. Of the 36 Senate races this November, heâ€™s predicting that Republicans will pick up 6 seats, and possibly as many as 11. Senators Mary Landrieu, Mark Pryor and Kay Hagan are some of the incumbent Democrats whose seats are considered vulnerable. Montana, West Virginia, Arkansas and South Dakota are Democrat-held seats likely to be picked up by the GOP.
25 Mar 2014